Analisis Trend Luas Panen, Produksi, Produktivitas, dan Harga Jual Kacang Kedelai di Jawa Tengah

Hemas Purwaning Dyah, Agus Setiadi, Hery Setiyawan

Abstract


Soybeans are the third most important food crop after rice and corn. Soybean consumption increases annually, but domestic production is not yet sufficient to meet domestic consumption. Central Java Province is the second largest soybean production center in Indonesia, thus playing a significant role in supporting soybean availability and has the potential to increase soybean production. Harvested area, production, productivity, and soybean prices in Central Java show dynamic changes and fluctuations over time. This study aims to analyze soybean production base areas in Central Java, as well as to examine trends and estimate harvested area, production, and productivity of soybeans in the province. The study was conducted for two months, namely, November - December 2025 in Central Java Province. This research method uses secondary data research methods. The secondary data consisted of time-series data covering the last 31 years, from 1993 to 2023, related to soybean production, productivity, and harvested area.The analytical methods used included the identification of production base areas using Location Quotient (LQ) and Dynamic Location Quotient (dLQ) analyses, as well as Trend analysis using linear Trend models, quadratic Trend models, and exponential Trend models. The research results indicate that six regencies in Central Java are considered to be soybean production bases, and three regencies in Central Java are projected to become future soybean production bases. Trend analysis indicates that soybean production and harvested area are declining, while productivity and soybean prices are increasing.

Keywords


Analisis Tren, Daerah Basis Produksi, Jawa Tengah, Kacang Kedelai.

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DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.25157/ma.v12i2.23585

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